Is 2020 Trump’s 1993?

With less than one month before Election Day, this is not what a Republican candidate wants the Drudge Report to look like:

This is not what he wants the Five Thirty Eight election prediction to look like:

And with the crucial senior-citizen vote in the balance, this isn’t what a normal candidate would want going out in his name. But we’re not dealing with a “normal” candidate, are we?

Everyone understandably compares this election to previous American Presidential contests, but I wonder if the best comparison might be to the Canadian federal election in 1993. When an unpopular gaffe-prone incumbent political party based its entire campaign on the opposition leader being “old” and “out of touch.” And ultimately resorted to television commercials which looked like they were making fun of his facial deformity, ultimately destroying whatever pockets of support they had left.

The mighty Progressive Conservative Party of Canada was reduced to two seats in the House of Commons, never really recovered in subsequent elections, and was ultimately forced into a merger of unequals with the Reform Party/Canadian Alliance.

The Republican Party will not meet that fate in 2020 – only one-third of the Senate is up for grabs this year, and in deeply polarized America the GOP still has plenty of strongholds – but Republican strategists must be getting very nervous when polling from Georgia – Georgia! – looks like this:

In Georgia, Biden leads 51 – 44 percent among likely voters, while 4 percent are undecided. On September 29th, the race for the White House was too close to call when Biden had 50 percent support and Trump had 47 percent support. The September survey was taken before the first presidential debate and the president’s COVID-19 diagnosis.


Today, Democrat Jon Ossoff leads Republican incumbent Senator David Perdue 51 – 45 percent, while 3 percent are undecided. This compares to a virtual tie in late September when Ossoff had 49 percent and Perdue had 48 percent.

Don’t look away

(Warning: graphic video)

Back in my really early blogging days after 9/11, I posted a link to the Daniel Pearl beheading video and wrote that people should watch it, to really see what we were up against. More recently, following the worst shooting rampage in Canadian history, I wrote that we shouldn’t abstain from writing the killer’s name or reporting details about his life. We needed it to really understand the whole story.

And today, I think people should view this video (warning: graphic) of what looks like a modern-day lynching in Georgia – for which the perpetrators have not been indicted two months later:

The killers thought their victim, 25 year-old Ahmaud Arbery, had been involved in a robbery and tried to carry out a “citizen’s arrest.” Allahpundit, no bleeding-heart liberal, explains how this made absolutely no sense under state law:

…There’s no reason why the McMichaels should have confronted Arbery even if he’s guilty of everything they suspect him of. They’re not cops. They didn’t personally witness him commit any crime. The risk that they would misidentify an innocent man as a criminal was perfectly foreseeable, especially to a former cop like McMichael. They should have called the sheriff, who could have stopped Arbery lawfully and used the surveillance video mentioned in the police report to determine if he really was the burglary suspect they’re looking for. Why didn’t they do that?

If they can get away with this then the “citizen’s arrest” statute is license for legalized vigilantism. Indict them.

I’ll admit it: I often roll my eyes when people start going on about “white privilege.” But when you see two white men do something like this and not get immediately indicted, well, what else can you call it?

Not surprisingly, since the video went viral, people are pronouncing that Georgia and the American South haven’t changed much since the days of Emmett Till, whose brutal killing happened within living memory of people who live there. Till’s murderers walked away free from a grand jury. Hopefully, the grand jury to be convened in Arbury’s case will be more successful.

Personally, I’ve been to the South several times and enjoyed every minute. I’ve long said that if I had to move to the United States, I’d start looking for properties in Nashville. But then again, it’s not my ancestors who were legally second-class citizens there even after the Kennedy assassination.

Even for those of us who love the food, the music and the stock car racing, that region’s darker side is never far from memory. I hope and pray that the state of Georgia in 2020 shows us that it really has a justice system, not just a legal system.